Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.070219 0.081562 0.093970 0.108528 0.125115 0.143398 0.165050
2025-02-02 0.054873 0.070316 0.088728 0.112195 0.141193 0.175728 0.219839
2025-02-09 0.041158 0.057661 0.078919 0.108074 0.146747 0.195974 0.263018
2025-02-16 0.032564 0.049435 0.072721 0.106792 0.154856 0.219635 0.312802
2025-02-23 0.025796 0.042188 0.066299 0.103711 0.159493 0.238591 0.357941
2025-03-02 0.020925 0.036668 0.061218 0.101405 0.164388 0.257834 0.404941
2025-03-09 0.017868 0.033341 0.058779 0.102461 0.174016 0.284486 0.464945
2025-03-16 0.014695 0.029174 0.054243 0.099343 0.176430 0.300052 0.509206
2025-03-23 0.013360 0.027987 0.054465 0.104028 0.191850 0.337256 0.590580
2025-03-30 0.011685 0.025836 0.052616 0.104756 0.200479 0.363988 0.657081
2025-04-06 0.009906 0.023133 0.049309 0.102314 0.203102 0.380637 0.707873
2025-04-13 0.008514 0.020953 0.046649 0.100658 0.206812 0.399260 0.763326
2025-04-20 0.007963 0.020537 0.047515 0.106112 0.224667 0.445048 0.871450
2025-04-27 0.007400 0.019993 0.048040 0.110952 0.241877 0.491231 0.984285
2025-05-04 0.006262 0.017850 0.044794 0.107492 0.242217 0.505931 1.040260
2025-05-11 0.005468 0.016396 0.042846 0.106530 0.247472 0.530376 1.116509
2025-05-18 0.004671 0.014757 0.040195 0.103612 0.248225 0.545943 1.176725
2025-05-25 0.004031 0.013398 0.037990 0.101386 0.250155 0.563910 1.242937
2025-06-01 0.003641 0.012670 0.037236 0.102482 0.259520 0.597820 1.343715
2025-06-08 0.003117 0.011414 0.034907 0.099383 0.258942 0.610732 1.402229
2025-06-15 0.002968 0.011304 0.035631 0.104080 0.277058 0.665126 1.551566
2025-06-22 0.002685 0.010692 0.034867 0.104815 0.285754 0.699606 1.660927
2025-06-29 0.002332 0.009753 0.033009 0.102374 0.286408 0.716212 1.732759